The US has made their fair of agreements with foreign countries regarding many different matters. In 2015 an agreement was made for new limits on Teheran’s nuclear program after Washington gave in to Iranian demands to lift a certain embargo. Iran and six other world powers agreed to the historic deal in return for relief of economic sanctions meaning total culmination of more than ten years of diplomacy or confrontation. Mr. Tarock said in his article ‘The Iran Nuclear Deal: Winning a Little, Losing a Lot.’ that “The issue was finally resolved in an agreement, after more than a year of negotiations, between the two sides in Geneva in July 2015.”
According to an article “US and Iran Reach Historic Nuclear Deal” from Froeignpolicy.com. The article says it took about eighteen days of nonstop negotiations in Vienna, diplomats finally announced that they had settled the agreement. President Barack Obama saw it as an opportunity that would an end to a long running tension about Iran’s uncertain nuclear project. President Barack Obama believed that because America negotiated from a position of strength, we stopped the increase of nuclear weapons in this region.
However, it just so seems that all good thing must come to an end seeing as to how President Donald Trump has announced that he will not recertify this foreign policy because he believes that the agreement was too lenient, and President Donald Trump also claims that Iran had already broken parts of the deal by having access to international inspectors. In response to President Donald Trump allegations the EU’s foreign policy Chief Federica Mogherini says that they have not made any violations and she insisted that the deal could not and would not be renegotiated, even by the U.S. President Donald Trump says that if he were to recertify the negotiation we could all continue down a very predictable path of violence, terror, and quite frankly a very real threat of Iran’s nuclear breakout. This is not the first change that Presidents plan to success has led him to create. He also withdrew from the Paris Climate accord, as well as the Trans-Pacific partnership.
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President Donald Trump has also renegotiated the North America Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico. As a response to President Donald Trump previous statement of Iran not staying compliant with the deal, Hassan Rouhani lets it be known that even though President Donald Trump’s accusations are false, The Iranian nation has not and never will bow to any foreign pressure. The US Europeans allies have warned the U.S of splitting with them over the nuclear agreement saying that refusing to recertify it puts the U.S credibility abroad, mostly because international inspectors saying Iran is complete compliance with the agreement.
Although President Donald Trump did not completely jump out of the agreement he did give congress the time of sixty days to figure out if they should reimpose economic sanctions that were lifted from Teheran under the pact. If congress decides to reimpose the sanctions the U.S would already be in violation of the President Donald Trump and lawmakers that are involved sit back and do nothing the deal would remain intact. Before congress came to their final decision President Donald Trump instructed U.S intelligence agencies to find out if Iran might be working with North Korea on new weapon programs.
President Donald Trump has also warned that if a solution could not be reached between congress and our allies then the agreement would be terminated effective immediately. Personally, I believe there are many different courses of action that can take place in helping our current dilemma the first course of action would be to create a (Stop the Clock Agreement) This agreement would stop Iran in making any progress with any nuclear weapons that they may or may not be working on. During this time the U.S would seek to negotiate with the Iranian regime about preventing any progress so that we could have more time to come with a permanent settlement. This option however is nothing more than a minimal agreement of confidence building depending on the trust of one another.
If the first option does not seem to be having the impact intended, then both countries should come together to seek a final agreement that resolves the nuclear issue. The risk that comes with this option is that if a Stop the Clock Agreement is not instilled then during the negotiations of a final agreement Iran would be free to move forward with their nuclear program. It can be very difficult to reestablish an existing sanction which is why any part of a final agreement needs to be priory established and announced publicly.
The final resort would be to launch a limited clandestine military strike. However, this option should only be put into use in the event of a negotiation violation or the violation of a Stop the Clock Agreement and/or a final agreement. This would cause the Iranians to return to negotiations and return to compliance with the agreements negotiated. Launching a strike would also prevent Iran from continuing towards a nuclear weapon capability. This also enforces certain boundaries. However, this option does run a major risk of angering the Iranians and causing them to launch using military force should be planned out very carefully and reasonably making sure to inform Iran of their violation and having concrete evidence of said violation. Any military action taken should have little to no collateral damage that way it does not look like an attack on the people of Iran.
In conclusion the U.S seems to have gotten itself into quite a sticky situation when deciding not to recertify the agreement made with Iran. I do believe that President Barack Obama made the agreement seeing as to how it would benefit the U.S, for another president such as President Donald Trump to come along and start renegotiating updated terms is wrong and not what Iran has ever agreed to. The lack of analyzation of the situation on President Donald Trump part is great and it appears his pride is getting in the way of realizing that he has made a mistake. Without any doubt if the international investigations do not find any violations of the agreement on Iran’s part it could have all just been a mistake on the President Donald Trump’s part.
