Table of Contents
Political Brexit impact on the UK decision to leave Europe and the pending UK recession, NO DEAL BREXIT’S economical, geographical and political concerns. Conservatory, Labour and Nigel Farage’s the Brexit party political Brexit views. Impact on Southern Ireland’s Hard Border with Northern Ireland. Compile your evidence and conclusion
Preface
It is difficult to exaggerate the impact that the decision of the British people in 2016 to leave the European Union will have on the country’s society and politics. The referendum held that year gave UK citizens a choice whether they intend to leave or remain in the EU. The fact that British politics has always been driven by pragmatism has hindered the ability of politicians and society to steer through these challenges.
In this essay, I would like to appraise the repercussions of Brexit on/in the United Kingdom. I will acquaint the reader with the attitudes of the biggest political parties in the UK towards Brexit. I also want to devote a great amount of attention to the controversy over Southern Ireland’s Hard Border with Northern Ireland and to what happens if the government does not make a deal with the EU.
127 our experts are availableright now
The Historical Background
It goes without saying that European integration has been a contentious area of British politics for a long time. Both the major parties, Labour and Conservative, have managed to surmount several internal splits and changes of policy during the past few years. The Conservative party has been dealing with the Maastricht treaty since 1991. The party was divided and therefore, Prime Minister David Cameron decided to hold a referendum on the membership in the EU. The prime minister wanted to create more space for himself in his dealings with some backbench members of parliament. Based on several interviews carried out by the BBC and other television channels, it was more than clear that the division and uncertainty about European policy had never been more serious.
The vote for ‘Brexit’ in the June 2016 referendum led directly to a change of prime minister and confronted Theresa May’s government with a hugely complex challenge, to negotiate the terms of Britain’s departure.
General Election in 2017
The major reason given by the prime minister was the need to seek out certainty and stability as the United Kingdom entered the process of negotiating withdrawal from the European Union. ‘The country is coming together,’ she stated, ‘but Westminster is not.’ She obviously made a reference to potential opposition to the government’s handling of the Brexit process from Labour, the SNP and the Liberal Democrats. All of these parties had accused May of pursuing ‘hard Brexit’. In other words, a preference for a sharp break with the EU rather than a willingness to make any concessions.
The results of this general election were appalling for Theresa May and her cabinet. Not only did she lose the majority in the parliament, but she was also in a hung parliament’ territory. Whereas, for Jeremy Corbyn, it was a triumphant victory since his main aim has always been to inflict the most damage to the Conservative Party. Since Theresa May had lost that much needed majority of those 326 seats, she was not able to deliver on her promises concerning Brexit.
Handling Brexit
The Conservative party
Prime Minister Boris Johnson wants to leave the EU with the revitalised deal he negotiated. He says that he needs a majority Conservative government to “get Brexit done”. Mr Johnson secured changes to the deal previously negotiated by Theresa May. It encompasses revoking the controversial Irish backstop and replacing it with a new customs arrangement.
The Labour Party
A hung parliament is a situation after a general election when no single party has a majority in the House of Commons. This happened in 2010, when David Cameron assembled a parliamentary majority after the election by forming a coalition government with the Liberal Democrats under Nick Clegg.
Labour has full intention of renegotiating Mr Johnson’s deal and put it to another public vote. This entire process would take another six months. According to several Conservative MPs, this would cost billions of pounds. Moreover, disrespecting the results of the referendum that took place in 2016 would be very undemocratic and it would be a betrayal of the British people. Their referendum would be very clear and straightforward as Dawn Butler, who serves as an MP for Brent Central, said. There would be a choice between a “sensible” Leave option versus Remain.
Under the Leave option, Labour will do everything in its power to remain in an EU customs union and retain a single market relationship. Thus, this would allow the UK to continue trading with the EU without any checks.
Brexit party
Nigel Farage and his party are in favour of “Hard Brexit”. In other words, they want to leave without a deal at any cost. They also proclaim that Mr Johnson’s revised Brexit plan is shambolic.
No Deal Brexit
There have been many concerns with regard to a no-deal Brexit. One of them is the decrease in GDB. In 2016, analysis that was carried out by Her Majesty’s Treasury anticipated that GDP might decrease by as much as 7,5% after 15 years for the UK. Moreover, in the event of a no-deal-Brexit, British citizens living and working in EU member states would lose their EU citizens’ right. Citizens would not be allowed to travel to any other EU states unless they applied for a visa. Leaving with no-deal would also be catastrophic for smaller businesses and sheep farming since there would be no market for 40% of the UK’s lamb meat.
There are also some assets as the UK would be able to make new deals with its allies abroad. The UK would also regain control over their fisheries. However, it cannot be denied that a no-deal Brexit would have immediate repercussions for many developing countries’ export. Restricting access to EU markets will also mean that some domestic operators will see an improvement in their position, as competition is reduced.
Overall, the global effect is liable to be negative. I put it down to the reliance of the British economy on EU nationals working in areas such as health and agriculture: in an economy currently running at very low levels of joblessness, inflationary effects on wages or even an inability to cover some activity might result in the short to medium-term.
Impact on Southern Ireland’s Hard Border With Northern Ireland
The impact of Brexit on the Irish border concerns significant changes when it comes to trade, customs, immigration checks, local economies, services, recognition of qualifications, medical cooperation. After Brexit, The Republic of Ireland would be de facto the only country with an external EU land border. If the United Kingdom decides to implement a hard border, it means that there will only be a limited number
of border crossings. Goods are automatically subjected to further control and drivers
of vehicles are required to make sure that goods are in accordance with the standards
of the territory being entered.
Conclusion
In a nutshell, Brexit is an issue that will take another few months before it is finally resolved. As far as I am concerned, it is impossible to predict how the situation with no-deal Brexit will unfold. However, it remains a question whether or not we will be able to notice its consequences even in 10 years. There is supposed to be a general election in 2024 and this will give a pretty accurate indication of whether the British people were satisfied with the way the Conservative party delivered Brexit.
